![]() ![]() When this year’s winner is announced on October 6, the laureate will most likely be a surprise. Despite recent scandals, controversy, and silliness (here, I mean the Dylan win), the Nobel has maintained its place as not just the world’s most important literary award, but its most important cultural one. And the other is that it remains the single best global survey of literature. One is that it’s a fun, low-stakes way to engage with the literary world, which most people take way too seriously. ![]() I have gotten it spectacularly wrong several times, however-including in 2016, when I said that Bob Dylan would definitely not win the Nobel Prize in Literature, which he did days later.ĭespite this track record, I continue to make predictions about the prize. I should know: For the past seven years, I’ve tried to guess the winner based on odds from the British sportsbook Ladbrokes and never once gotten it right. Predicting the winner of the Nobel Prize in Literature is a fool’s errand. ![]()
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